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Saturday, April 27, 2013

Standings for Monday's NHL Draft Lottery

 The playoff picture has finally taken shape, with all eight available spots in each conference clinched. This also means the 14 teams on the outside looking in have been determined as well. Yes, their seasons all ended in disappointment, one way or another, but a new quirk introduced to the Draft Lottery process this year gives one team a chance to end on an unexpected high note.
 The 2013 Scotiabank NHL Draft Lottery, to be held on Monday at 8 p.m., will be the first in league history in which all 14 teams that missed the postseason have a chance to win the No. 1 overall pick based on a fixed percentage chance. In years past, lottery winners could only move up four spots in the draft, and the likelihood of winning was weighted heavier based on how poorly a team did.
 The Florida Panthers finished dead last in the NHL in the lockout-shortened season, but the new lottery format creates new story lines. Could Colorado win the first overall pick and thus Seth Jones end up playing for the team that introduced him to hockey as a child? Does one of the teams who barely missed out on the playoffs suddenly leap to first overall? Or if the "leader" does win the top pick, do the Florida Panthers, who have a history of trading down from No. 1, give it up to a hungry suitor? After all, in a stacked draft like this, the yield for the first pick could be higher than it was for Florida in 2002 and 2003.
 Of course, all of these hypotheticals and many others depend on how the lottery balls bounce. The following is every eligible team's chances of getting their biggest win of the season:

30. FLORIDA PANTHERS



25.0%




29. COLORADO AVALANCHE


18.8%




28. TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING


14.2%




27. NASHVILLE PREDATORS


10.7%




26. CAROLINA HURRICANES


8.1%




25. CALGARY FLAMES


6.2%




24. EDMONTON OILERS


4.7%




23. BUFFALO SABRES


3.6%




22. NEW JERSEY DEVILS


2.7%




21. DALLAS STARS


2.1%




20. PHILADELPHIA FLYERS


1.5%




19. PHOENIX COYOTES


1.1%




18. WINNIPEG JETS


0.8%




17. COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS


0.5%



 Is it really possible to "root" for teams during a Draft Lottery? If it is, I'll admit my bias and say I'd love to see Jones play in the Pepsi Center in an Avalanche uniform, or wouldn't it be some sort of poetic justice for the Columbus Blue Jackets, who many people had written off to finish dead last at the start of the season, to win the first overall pick with the lowest odds after all of their hard work?
 Tune in to TSN (or NBC Sports Network for those like me in the States) on Monday night to see who will have the rights to the first selection at one of the deepest drafts in NHL history.